China — Carne Suína
Análise de política comercial para exportações brasileiras de carne suína para China.
Visão Geral do Mercado
Volume Comercial (2025)
$443,3M
Intervenções em Vigor
52
Fluxos de Comércio
Fonte: Trade Data Monitor (TDM)⚠ 2026 mostra dados parciais, ano ainda não concluído.
Intervenções de Política (GTA)
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA)static: On August 5th, 2020, three Chinese ministries jointly announced in Qita Xingqi 2020/36 (hereafter, 'Announcement') the repealing of a policy announced in 1994 that precluded several categories of imported goods from preferential tax treatment. 20 categories of goods were covered by the 1994 law, which were (direct translation from original Chinese source): TVs Washing machines Fax machines Video and film cameras Computers VCRs Photocopiers Typewriters and word processors Video players Programmed telephone switches Furniture Speakers Microcomputers and peripherals Lamps Air conditioners Telephones Refrigerators Pagers Certain food products (condiments, meat, poultry, eggs, vegetables, aquatic produce, fruits, beverages, wine, dairy produce) HS codes were not provided, so have been surmised from the list presented in the Announcement. The change went into effect upon the Announcement's promulgation. The 20 product categories described above are now eligible for preferential tax treatment. The 1994 policy was particularly focused on preventing local/provincial authorities from implementing such policies; they are now free to do so.
static: On March 17th, 2020, the Chinese State Taxation Administration released Announcement 2020/15, which raised the export rebate tax on 1,464 products, effective from March 20th. For 380 product lines, the rate was raised to 9%. These included plant growth regulators. For another 1,084 product lines including porcelain sanitary appliances, the rate was raised to 13%. The Chinese government does not regularly publish export rebate tax rates; the prior rates on these products can therefore not be ascertained. However, the original announcement does specifically state that these new rates are 'increased' from whatever they had been previously. This intervention is therefore deemed to have a red GTA evaluation.
static: In December 2019, the State Commission of Tariffs of the PRC released its annual 'Tariff Implementation Plan', detailing the changes in import and export tariffs for the following year (2020). 2020's schedule included more items than usual which were newly included in the provisional import tariff rate table, specifically, 164 product lines. Overall, there were 165 items that received a reduction in their ad valorem import tariffs, i.e. only one item that was already included in the schedule saw its tariff rate reduced. A small number of other tariff lines saw their rates changed, but the new rate is not comparable to the old one - e.g. ad valorem to per unit tariff change. Please see taxonomy for details on the changes. Please note also that the schedule for export tariffs was not altered from the previous one in this announcement. There were also no increases to import tariffs.
static: On October 22nd, 2018, the Chinese government announced that they would be increasing VAT rebate rates for certain export commodities in Caishui 2018/123. The adjustments were as follows: Increase to 16% for export VAT rebate rate for 234 products such as photo film, tempered glass etc.; Increase to 13% for 226 products such as carbon fibre, lubricant; Increase to 10% for 331 products, e.g. glass fibre, fired bricks, etc. The new rates went into effect from November 1st, 2018. The previous rates are difficult to ascertain, as the Chinese government does not regularly make such databases public. Please note that items are recorded at HS 6-digit level. The original announcement uses a more subdivided Chinese system, therefore containing more tariff lines.
static: On 23 March 2016, the Chinese Ministry of Finance announced changes to the import taxes on certain cross-border transactions via e-commerce. Hereto, certain goods falling under a value thresholds of RMB 2,000 (approx. USD 309) for a single transaction and RMB 20,000 (approx. USD 3,090) annually for individuals are subject to lowered import taxes. Within these value thresholds custom duties on the subject goods are provisionally reduced to 0%; at the importing stage the exempted tax amount of VAT and consumption tax is abolished; and lastly 70% of the payable tax amount is provisionally levied. Any goods exceeding the value thresholds are subject to full taxes and duties. The measure comes into force on 8 April 2016. Subsequently, the Chinese authorities released two lists of products eligible for the above treatment. The lists contain a total of 1400 products at the HS 8-digit level. An updated version of the policy was released in November 2018, implementing new rates from January 2019. Please see related act for more information.
static: On 26 August 2013, China announced the removal of 130 tariff lines (at the 10-digit level) from the list of goods subject to automatic import licensing. The products involved fall into the broad categories of base metals (iron, steel, and copper), meat products, waste of paper and paperboard, natural gas, and electrical machinery products (steam turbines, water turbines and other electrical installations, and textile machinery).
static: On March 23rd, 2012, the Chinese General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine released Announcement 145 of 2012 (hereafter, 'Announcement'). The Announcement added slaughter meat and seafood products to the list of those for which foreign producers must acquire approval by the ministry to be able to import into China. For products outside the remit of the list, no extra licensing requirement is required. The new policy would apply from the beginning of 2013.
static: On 3 June 2009, the government of China raised the Value Added Tax(VAT) rebates for designated textile and garment exports. Exporters of the benefiting products may recuperate part of the VAT included in intermediate products. Instead of the general Chinese VAT of 17 percent, intermediates used in these exports shall only be subject to a VAT of 2 to 12 percent. 130 products have been exempted from VAT on included intermediates altogether.
static: In June 2019, the Chinese State Council released Guobanfa 2019/31 (hereafter, 'Announcement'), which sought to address some of the issues that had arisen due to a widespread epidemic of African swine fever (ASF) in the Chinese mainland. Most of the measures contained in the announcement were sanitary measures aimed at containing the epidemic. However, the pork market in China very large, being by far the biggest in the world, with over 700m head of swine killed in 2017 alone to feed the Chinese populace's 30kg annual per capita demand for the meat. Due to this, the Announcement charges local governments with the task of 'maintaining the price of regional pork markets' by supporting swine production to make up for losses, and making transport of pork more efficient to cater to the worst-hit areas. For financial institutions, the State Council orders them to stabilise credit and 'provide stable support' to pork producers, also ordering such firms 'not to stop lending to [the pork industry] for no good reason'. The Announcement then orders local governments to make use of their own funds to address the problems laid out in the rest of the document. Numerous provincial and municipal enactions of this Announcement were subsequently released, however, precise funding information was not. Please see related act for an example of this.
Indicadores: Impacto no Fluxo Comercial
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA) × Trade Data Monitor (TDM)Panorama: comércio mensal × intervenções
As barras marcam medidas de HS-6 específicos; a linha soma a família toda.
Como este indicador é calculado
Para cada intervenção GTA com data de implementação, comparamos a exportação brasileira do produto (HS-6) para este mercado antes e depois da medida. O baseline é a média mensal exportada nos 12 meses anteriores; os deltas comparam as médias mensais de +6, +12 e +24 meses ao baseline; a recuperação é o primeiro mês em que a média móvel de 3 meses volta ao baseline.
Limitações:
- Não é market share. Mede a exportação do próprio Brasil, não a perda para concorrentes, dado indisponível na base.
- O delta de 12 meses é o menos enviesado sazonalmente; 6 e 24 meses misturam composição sazonal.
- Descritivo, não causal: intervenções sobrepostas no mesmo produto/mercado fazem as janelas se cruzarem.
Mede a exportação do próprio Brasil pré/pós a medida, não market share nem perda para concorrentes. Indicador descritivo, não causal.
Maiores impactos: queda da exportação (Δ +12m)
| Medida | Implementada | Baseline USD/mês? | Δ6m? | Δ12m | Δ24m | Recuperação? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval ↗ · 020322 | 2013-01-01 | $0,4M | -84,5% | -55,9% | -87,4% | ✗ não recuperou |
| RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval ↗ · 020329 | 2013-01-01 | $0,4M | -50,1% | -36,9% | -49,9% | ✗ não recuperou |
| RedChina: Adjustment to export VAT rebate policy ↗ · 020329 | 2018-11-01 | $22,3M | +17,0% | +102,4% | +272,1% | ✓ 1 meses |
| RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods ↗ · 020322 | 2020-03-20 | $1,4M | +133,9% | +172,7% | +138,2% | ✓ 1 meses |
24 medida(s) adversa(s) sem histórico de comércio suficiente para medir impacto
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020319 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020641 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020321 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020311 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020312 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 021012 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 021011 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020649 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 2 meses
- RedChina: Adjustment to export VAT rebate policy · 021019 · impl 2018-11-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020641 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020321 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020319 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020312 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 021012 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 021011 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020649 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020311 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 160249 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 160242 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 160241 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 021019 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: VAT rebates for a broad range of products · 160241 · impl 2009-06-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: VAT rebates for a broad range of products · 160242 · impl 2009-06-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: VAT rebates for a broad range of products · 160249 · impl 2009-06-01 · baseline 0 meses
Indicadores: Impacto no Preço
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA) × CEPEA/ESALQPanorama: preço CEPEA × intervenções
○ anúncio · ● implementação. Preço nacional da família (média das séries CEPEA); a linha conecta observações reais, sem preenchimento.
Sem intervenções com data e histórico de preço suficiente para esta família.