China — Carne Bovina
Análise de política comercial para exportações brasileiras de carne bovina para China.
Visão Geral do Mercado
Volume Comercial (2025)
$7,9B
Intervenções em Vigor
52
Fluxos de Comércio
Fonte: Trade Data Monitor (TDM)⚠ 2026 mostra dados parciais, ano ainda não concluído.
Intervenções de Política (GTA)
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA)changed: On 27 December 2024, the Chinese authorities initiated a safeguard investigation on imports of certain meat of bovine animals. The products subject to investigation are classified under HS code subheadings 0201.10.00, 0201.20.00, 0201.30.00, 0202.10.00, 0202.20.00, and 0202.30.00.; changed: On 31 December 2025, the Chinese authorities imposed a definitive safeguard duty on imports of beef. The duty is set at an additional 55%, applied to imports outside the established tariff-rate quota (TRQ), for a three-year period, with progressively increasing annual quota volumes. The applicable quota levels are set at 2.688 million tonnes from 1 January 2026 to 31 December 2026, 2.742 million tonnes from 1 January 2027 to 31 December 2027, and 2.797 million tonnes from 1 January 2028 to 31 December 2028, including certain fixed country-specific allocations. Imports from eligible developing countries are conditionally exempted from the safeguard duty.; new: On 19 June 2026, the Chinese authorities issued a notice extending the application of a definitive safeguard duty on imports of beef from Australia. The duty extension takes effect on 20 June 2026.
static: On August 5th, 2020, three Chinese ministries jointly announced in Qita Xingqi 2020/36 (hereafter, 'Announcement') the repealing of a policy announced in 1994 that precluded several categories of imported goods from preferential tax treatment. 20 categories of goods were covered by the 1994 law, which were (direct translation from original Chinese source): TVs Washing machines Fax machines Video and film cameras Computers VCRs Photocopiers Typewriters and word processors Video players Programmed telephone switches Furniture Speakers Microcomputers and peripherals Lamps Air conditioners Telephones Refrigerators Pagers Certain food products (condiments, meat, poultry, eggs, vegetables, aquatic produce, fruits, beverages, wine, dairy produce) HS codes were not provided, so have been surmised from the list presented in the Announcement. The change went into effect upon the Announcement's promulgation. The 20 product categories described above are now eligible for preferential tax treatment. The 1994 policy was particularly focused on preventing local/provincial authorities from implementing such policies; they are now free to do so.
static: On May 12th, 2020, a spokesperson from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed that four of Australia's largest beef exporters had had their licenses suspended with immediate effect. This invalidates their products from sale in the PRC, Australia's biggest beef export destination. The reason given by the ministry was due to issues with product labelling, the exact same offence having been committed by all four firms independently, according to the Chinese authorities. The ban occurred shortly after Australia joined a group of nations calling for an independent investigation into the origin of the virus behind the COVID-19 pandemic, which originated in China. The four firms affected are: Kilcoy Pastoral Company; JBS Beef City; Dinmore; and Northern Cooperative Meat Company. No end date for the ban was provided by the spokesperson.
static: On March 17th, 2020, the Chinese State Taxation Administration released Announcement 2020/15, which raised the export rebate tax on 1,464 products, effective from March 20th. For 380 product lines, the rate was raised to 9%. These included plant growth regulators. For another 1,084 product lines including porcelain sanitary appliances, the rate was raised to 13%. The Chinese government does not regularly publish export rebate tax rates; the prior rates on these products can therefore not be ascertained. However, the original announcement does specifically state that these new rates are 'increased' from whatever they had been previously. This intervention is therefore deemed to have a red GTA evaluation.
static: On October 22nd, 2018, the Chinese government announced that they would be increasing VAT rebate rates for certain export commodities in Caishui 2018/123. The adjustments were as follows: Increase to 16% for export VAT rebate rate for 234 products such as photo film, tempered glass etc.; Increase to 13% for 226 products such as carbon fibre, lubricant; Increase to 10% for 331 products, e.g. glass fibre, fired bricks, etc. The new rates went into effect from November 1st, 2018. The previous rates are difficult to ascertain, as the Chinese government does not regularly make such databases public. Please note that items are recorded at HS 6-digit level. The original announcement uses a more subdivided Chinese system, therefore containing more tariff lines.
static: On 23 March 2016, the Chinese Ministry of Finance announced changes to the import taxes on certain cross-border transactions via e-commerce. Hereto, certain goods falling under a value thresholds of RMB 2,000 (approx. USD 309) for a single transaction and RMB 20,000 (approx. USD 3,090) annually for individuals are subject to lowered import taxes. Within these value thresholds custom duties on the subject goods are provisionally reduced to 0%; at the importing stage the exempted tax amount of VAT and consumption tax is abolished; and lastly 70% of the payable tax amount is provisionally levied. Any goods exceeding the value thresholds are subject to full taxes and duties. The measure comes into force on 8 April 2016. Subsequently, the Chinese authorities released two lists of products eligible for the above treatment. The lists contain a total of 1400 products at the HS 8-digit level. An updated version of the policy was released in November 2018, implementing new rates from January 2019. Please see related act for more information.
static: On 26 August 2013, China announced the removal of 130 tariff lines (at the 10-digit level) from the list of goods subject to automatic import licensing. The products involved fall into the broad categories of base metals (iron, steel, and copper), meat products, waste of paper and paperboard, natural gas, and electrical machinery products (steam turbines, water turbines and other electrical installations, and textile machinery).
static: On March 23rd, 2012, the Chinese General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine released Announcement 145 of 2012 (hereafter, 'Announcement'). The Announcement added slaughter meat and seafood products to the list of those for which foreign producers must acquire approval by the ministry to be able to import into China. For products outside the remit of the list, no extra licensing requirement is required. The new policy would apply from the beginning of 2013.
static: On 3 June 2009, the government of China raised the Value Added Tax(VAT) rebates for designated textile and garment exports. Exporters of the benefiting products may recuperate part of the VAT included in intermediate products. Instead of the general Chinese VAT of 17 percent, intermediates used in these exports shall only be subject to a VAT of 2 to 12 percent. 130 products have been exempted from VAT on included intermediates altogether.
static: On 1 November 2008, the government of China raised the Value Added Tax (VAT) rebates for designated exports. Exporters of the benefiting products may recuperate up to 80 percent of the VAT included in intermediate products. The general VAT in China is equal to 17 percent.
Indicadores: Impacto no Fluxo Comercial
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA) × Trade Data Monitor (TDM)Panorama: comércio mensal × intervenções
As barras marcam medidas de HS-6 específicos; a linha soma a família toda.
Como este indicador é calculado
Para cada intervenção GTA com data de implementação, comparamos a exportação brasileira do produto (HS-6) para este mercado antes e depois da medida. O baseline é a média mensal exportada nos 12 meses anteriores; os deltas comparam as médias mensais de +6, +12 e +24 meses ao baseline; a recuperação é o primeiro mês em que a média móvel de 3 meses volta ao baseline.
Limitações:
- Não é market share. Mede a exportação do próprio Brasil, não a perda para concorrentes, dado indisponível na base.
- O delta de 12 meses é o menos enviesado sazonalmente; 6 e 24 meses misturam composição sazonal.
- Descritivo, não causal: intervenções sobrepostas no mesmo produto/mercado fazem as janelas se cruzarem.
Mede a exportação do próprio Brasil pré/pós a medida, não market share nem perda para concorrentes. Indicador descritivo, não causal.
| Medida | Implementada | Baseline USD/mês? | Δ6m? | Δ12m | Δ24m | Recuperação? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals ↗ · 020230 | 2026-01-01 | $655,9M | +20,9% | +20,9% | +20,9%* | ✓ 1 meses |
| AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended ↗ · 020230 | 2020-05-12 | $258,3M | +41,2% | +41,5% | +48,7% | ✓ 1 meses |
| RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods ↗ · 020230 | 2020-03-20 | $233,0M | +46,3% | +53,1% | +53,0% | ✓ 1 meses |
* janela de 24 meses ainda incompleta, dados parciais.
30 medida(s) adversa(s) sem histórico de comércio suficiente para medir impacto
- RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals · 020120 · impl 2026-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals · 020110 · impl 2026-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals · 020220 · impl 2026-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals · 020210 · impl 2026-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain meat of bovine animals · 020130 · impl 2026-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended · 020210 · impl 2020-05-12 · baseline 0 meses
- AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended · 020220 · impl 2020-05-12 · baseline 0 meses
- AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended · 020110 · impl 2020-05-12 · baseline 0 meses
- AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended · 020120 · impl 2020-05-12 · baseline 0 meses
- AmberChina: Four Australian beef importers' licenses suspended · 020130 · impl 2020-05-12 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020220 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 1 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020621 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020629 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020210 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020110 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020120 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Ministry of Finance raises export rebate tax on almost 1,500 goods · 020130 · impl 2020-03-20 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Adjustment to export VAT rebate policy · 020610 · impl 2018-11-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020130 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020210 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020120 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020110 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 160250 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 4 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020629 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 6 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020621 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020610 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020230 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 12 meses
- RedChina: Meat and seafood added to the catalogue of imported foods requiring producer approval · 020220 · impl 2013-01-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: VAT rebates for a broad range of products · 160250 · impl 2009-06-01 · baseline 0 meses
- RedChina: Increased VAT rebates for exports of food, mineral, chemical and wood products · 020130 · impl 2008-11-01 · baseline 2 meses
Indicadores: Impacto no Preço
Fonte: Global Trade Alert (GTA) × CEPEA/ESALQPanorama: preço CEPEA × intervenções
○ anúncio · ● implementação. Preço nacional da família (média das séries CEPEA); a linha conecta observações reais, sem preenchimento.
Sem intervenções com data e histórico de preço suficiente para esta família.